Book Image

R Data Science Essentials

Book Image

R Data Science Essentials

Overview of this book

With organizations increasingly embedding data science across their enterprise and with management becoming more data-driven it is an urgent requirement for analysts and managers to understand the key concept of data science. The data science concepts discussed in this book will help you make key decisions and solve the complex problems you will inevitably face in this new world. R Data Science Essentials will introduce you to various important concepts in the field of data science using R. We start by reading data from multiple sources, then move on to processing the data, extracting hidden patterns, building predictive and forecasting models, building a recommendation engine, and communicating to the user through stunning visualizations and dashboards. By the end of this book, you will have an understanding of some very important techniques in data science, be able to implement them using R, understand and interpret the outcomes, and know how they helps businesses make a decision.
Table of Contents (15 chapters)
R Data Science Essentials
Credits
About the Authors
About the Reviewers
www.PacktPub.com
Preface
Index

Forecasting using Holt-Winters


We will now explore the methods of building the forecasting model using the Holt-Winters method with the HoltWinters function, which belongs to the forecasting package. This function computes the Holt-Winters filtering for a given time series data, and the unknown parameters are determined by minimizing the squared prediction error.

Apart from passing the time series data as an input, the other important parameters that need to be passed to this function are the alpha, beta, and gamma, as follows:

  • alpha: The parameter of the Holt-Winters filters

  • beta: This is used for the trend component; when set to false, the function will do exponential smoothening

  • gamma: This is used for the seasonal component; when set to false, the nonseasonal component is fitted

Let's execute the following code where the trend component is set to FALSE, and hence, exponential smoothening will be performed on the dataset. We have set the gamma value as 0.5:

h_model=HoltWinters(ts, beta...