Book Image

Bayesian Analysis with Python

Book Image

Bayesian Analysis with Python

Overview of this book

The purpose of this book is to teach the main concepts of Bayesian data analysis. We will learn how to effectively use PyMC3, a Python library for probabilistic programming, to perform Bayesian parameter estimation, to check models and validate them. This book begins presenting the key concepts of the Bayesian framework and the main advantages of this approach from a practical point of view. Moving on, we will explore the power and flexibility of generalized linear models and how to adapt them to a wide array of problems, including regression and classification. We will also look into mixture models and clustering data, and we will finish with advanced topics like non-parametrics models and Gaussian processes. With the help of Python and PyMC3 you will learn to implement, check and expand Bayesian models to solve data analysis problems.
Table of Contents (15 chapters)
Bayesian Analysis with Python
Credits
About the Author
About the Reviewer
www.PacktPub.com
Preface
Index

Summary


We began this chapter by learning about non-parametric statistics in a Bayesian setting and how we can represent statistical problems through the use of kernel functions, as an example, we used a kernelized version of linear regression to model non-linear responses. Then we moved on to an alternative way of building and conceptualizing kernel methods using Gaussian processes.

A Gaussian process is a generalization of the multivariate Gaussian distribution to infinitively many dimensions and is fully specified by a mean function and a covariance function. Since we can conceptually think of functions as infinitively long vectors, we can use Gaussian processes as priors for functions. In practice, we work with multivariate Gaussian distributions with as many dimensions as data points. To define their corresponding covariance function, we used properly parameterized kernels; and by learning about those hyper-parameters, we ended up learning about arbitrary complex and unknown functions...