Book Image

Machine Learning with the Elastic Stack

By : Rich Collier, Bahaaldine Azarmi
Book Image

Machine Learning with the Elastic Stack

By: Rich Collier, Bahaaldine Azarmi

Overview of this book

Machine Learning with the Elastic Stack is a comprehensive overview of the embedded commercial features of anomaly detection and forecasting. The book starts with installing and setting up Elastic Stack. You will perform time series analysis on varied kinds of data, such as log files, network flows, application metrics, and financial data. As you progress through the chapters, you will deploy machine learning within the Elastic Stack for logging, security, and metrics. In the concluding chapters, you will see how machine learning jobs can be automatically distributed and managed across the Elasticsearch cluster and made resilient to failure. By the end of this book, you will understand the performance aspects of incorporating machine learning within the Elastic ecosystem and create anomaly detection jobs and view results from Kibana directly.
Table of Contents (12 chapters)

Forecasting

Forecasting is a natural extension of the time series modeling of Elastic ML. Since very expressive models are built behind the scenes and describe how data has behaved historically, it is therefore possible to project that information forward in time and predict how something should behave at a future time.

In this chapter, we will cover the following topics:

  • Use cases for forecasting
  • Theory of operation
  • Single-metric forecasting
  • Multiple-metric forecasting

First, however, we need to get an understanding of the caveats of predicting the future.