Book Image

Algorithmic Short Selling with Python

By : Laurent Bernut
Book Image

Algorithmic Short Selling with Python

By: Laurent Bernut

Overview of this book

If you are in the long/short business, learning how to sell short is not a choice. Short selling is the key to raising assets under management. This book will help you demystify and hone the short selling craft, providing Python source code to construct a robust long/short portfolio. It discusses fundamental and advanced trading concepts from the perspective of a veteran short seller. This book will take you on a journey from an idea (“buy bullish stocks, sell bearish ones”) to becoming part of the elite club of long/short hedge fund algorithmic traders. You’ll explore key concepts such as trading psychology, trading edge, regime definition, signal processing, position sizing, risk management, and asset allocation, one obstacle at a time. Along the way, you’ll will discover simple methods to consistently generate investment ideas, and consider variables that impact returns, volatility, and overall attractiveness of returns. By the end of this book, you’ll not only become familiar with some of the most sophisticated concepts in capital markets, but also have Python source code to construct a long/short product that investors are bound to find attractive.
Table of Contents (17 chapters)
14
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15
Index

Myth #7: Short selling increases market volatility

In 2008, banking top executives were contemplating the abyss from the parapet of their corner offices. The banking lobby promptly marched up to Washington to demand a moratorium on short selling. In response, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) put a temporary ban on short selling in the country in an effort to "restore equilibrium to the markets." This was lifted a short time later. Once the dust had settled, some analysis was done on the effect of the short selling ban, and the Federal Reserve published a report in which they concluded that short selling actually reduces volatility.

In the boxing ring called the stock market, it is not every day that the U.S. Federal Reserve is in the corner of short sellers. Without further ado, see the opening paragraph of their report:

"In response to the sharp decline in prices of financial stocks in the fall of 2008, regulators in a number of countries banned short selling of particular stocks and industries. Evidence suggests that these bans did little to stop the slide in stock prices, but significantly increased costs of liquidity. In August 2011, the U.S. market experienced a large decline when Standard and Poor's announced a downgrade of U.S. debt. Our cross-sectional tests suggest that the decline in stock prices was not significantly driven or amplified by short selling. Short selling does not appear to be the root cause of recent stock market declines. Furthermore, banning short selling does not appear to prevent stock prices from falling when firm-specific or economy-wide economic fundamentals are weak, and may impose high costs on market participants."

The title of the report is as follows: The New York Federal Reserve, Market Declines: What Is Accomplished by Banning Short-Selling?, Robert Battalio, Hamid Mehran, and Paul Schultz, Volume 18, Number 5, 2012.

Market participants sell short for various reasons. Options traders, convertible managers, and indexers need to delta-hedge their positions. The inability to sell short reduces liquidity and the offering of financial products. Restrictions on short selling are therefore a sign of market immaturity.