Book Image

Practical Guide to Applied Conformal Prediction in Python

By : Valery Manokhin
4 (1)
Book Image

Practical Guide to Applied Conformal Prediction in Python

4 (1)
By: Valery Manokhin

Overview of this book

In the rapidly evolving landscape of machine learning, the ability to accurately quantify uncertainty is pivotal. The book addresses this need by offering an in-depth exploration of Conformal Prediction, a cutting-edge framework to manage uncertainty in various ML applications. Learn how Conformal Prediction excels in calibrating classification models, produces well-calibrated prediction intervals for regression, and resolves challenges in time series forecasting and imbalanced data. Discover specialised applications of conformal prediction in cutting-edge domains like computer vision and NLP. Each chapter delves into specific aspects, offering hands-on insights and best practices for enhancing prediction reliability. The book concludes with a focus on multi-class classification nuances, providing expert-level proficiency to seamlessly integrate Conformal Prediction into diverse industries. With practical examples in Python using real-world datasets, expert insights, and open-source library applications, you will gain a solid understanding of this modern framework for uncertainty quantification. By the end of this book, you will be able to master Conformal Prediction in Python with a blend of theory and practical application, enabling you to confidently apply this powerful framework to quantify uncertainty in diverse fields.
Table of Contents (19 chapters)
Free Chapter
1
Part 1: Introduction
4
Part 2: Conformal Prediction Framework
8
Part 3: Applications of Conformal Prediction
14
Part 4: Advanced Topics

Different ways to quantify uncertainty

There are several different approaches to quantify uncertainty, each with its own strengths and limitations. Here are a few examples:

  • Statistical methods: Statistical methods are widely used for UQ and involve using probability distributions to model the uncertainty in data and predictions. These methods are widely used in fields such as finance, engineering, and physics and involve tools such as confidence intervals, regression analysis, Monte Carlo simulations and hypothesis testing.
  • Bayesian methods: Bayesian methods involve using prior knowledge and data to update our beliefs about the uncertainty in predictions. These methods are widely used in machine learning, natural language processing, and image processing. Bayesian tools include Bayesian inference – statistical methods to update beliefs about the uncertainty of predictions based on new data – and Bayesian networks – graphical models that represent probability...