Book Image

Advanced Machine Learning with R

By : Cory Lesmeister, Dr. Sunil Kumar Chinnamgari
Book Image

Advanced Machine Learning with R

By: Cory Lesmeister, Dr. Sunil Kumar Chinnamgari

Overview of this book

R is one of the most popular languages when it comes to exploring the mathematical side of machine learning and easily performing computational statistics. This Learning Path shows you how to leverage the R ecosystem to build efficient machine learning applications that carry out intelligent tasks within your organization. You’ll work through realistic projects such as building powerful machine learning models with ensembles to predict employee attrition. Next, you’ll explore different clustering techniques to segment customers using wholesale data and even apply TensorFlow and Keras-R for performing advanced computations. Each chapter will help you implement advanced machine learning algorithms using real-world examples. You’ll also be introduced to reinforcement learning along with its use cases and models. Finally, this Learning Path will provide you with a glimpse into how some of these black box models can be diagnosed and understood. By the end of this Learning Path, you’ll be equipped with the skills you need to deploy machine learning techniques in your own projects.
Table of Contents (30 chapters)
Title Page
Copyright and Credits
About Packt
Contributors
Preface
Index

Modeling and evaluation


For the modeling and evaluation step, we'll focus on three tasks. The first is to produce a univariate forecast model applied to just the surface temperature. The second is to develop a vector autoregression model of the surface temperature and CO2 levels, using that output to inform our work on whether CO2 levels Granger-cause the surface temperature anomalies.

Univariate time series forecasting

With this task, the objective is to produce a univariate forecast for the surface temperature, focusing on choosing either an exponential smoothing model, an ARIMA model, or an ensemble of methods, including a neural net. We'll train the models and determine their predictive accuracy on an out-of-time test set, just like we've done in other learning endeavors. The following code creates the train and test sets:

> temp_ts <- ts(climate$Temp, start = 1919, frequency = 1)

> train <- window(temp_ts, end = 2007)

> test <- window(temp_ts, start = 2008)

To build...