IBM SPSS Modeler Cookbook

IBM SPSS Modeler Cookbook

Overview of this book

IBM SPSS Modeler is a data mining workbench that enables you to explore data, identify important relationships that you can leverage, and build predictive models quickly allowing your organization to base its decisions on hard data not hunches or guesswork. IBM SPSS Modeler Cookbook takes you beyond the basics and shares the tips, the timesavers, and the workarounds that experts use to increase productivity and extract maximum value from data. The authors of this book are among the very best of these exponents, gurus who, in their brilliant and imaginative use of the tool, have pushed back the boundaries of applied analytics. By reading this book, you are learning from practitioners who have helped define the state of the art. Follow the industry standard data mining process, gaining new skills at each stage, from loading data to integrating results into everyday business practices. Get a handle on the most efficient ways of extracting data from your own sources, preparing it for exploration and modeling. Master the best methods for building models that will perform well in the workplace. Go beyond the basics and get the full power of your data mining workbench with this practical guide.

Preface

What is CRISP-DM?

Data mining is a business process

The IBM SPSS Modeler workbench

Historical introduction to scripting

What this book covers

Free Chapter

1. Data Understanding

Introduction

Using an empty aggregate to evaluate sample size

Evaluating the need to sample from the initial data

Using CHAID stumps when interviewing an SME

Using a single cluster K-means as an alternative to anomaly detection

Using an @NULL multiple Derive to explore missing data

Creating an Outlier report to give to SMEs

Detecting potential model instability early using the Partition node and Feature Selection node

2. Data Preparation – Select

Introduction

Using the Feature Selection node creatively to remove or decapitate perfect predictors

Running a Statistics node on anti-join to evaluate the potential missing data

Evaluating the use of sampling for speed

Removing redundant variables using correlation matrices

Selecting variables using the CHAID Modeling node

Selecting variables using the Means node

Selecting variables using single-antecedent Association Rules

3. Data Preparation – Clean

Introduction

Binning scale variables to address missing data

Using a full data model/partial data model approach to address missing data

Imputing in-stream mean or median

Imputing missing values randomly from uniform or normal distributions

Using random imputation to match a variable's distribution

Searching for similar records using a Neural Network for inexact matching

Using neuro-fuzzy searching to find similar names

Producing longer Soundex codes

4. Data Preparation – Construct

Introduction

Building transformations with multiple Derive nodes

Calculating and comparing conversion rates

Grouping categorical values

Transforming high skew and kurtosis variables with a multiple Derive node

Creating flag variables for aggregation

Using Association Rules for interaction detection/feature creation

Creating time-aligned cohorts

5. Data Preparation – Integrate and Format

Introduction

Speeding up merge with caching and optimization settings

Merging a lookup table

Shuffle-down (nonstandard aggregation)

Cartesian product merge using key-less merge by key

Multiplying out using Cartesian product merge, user source, and derive dummy

Changing large numbers of variable names without scripting

Parsing nonstandard dates

Parsing and performing a conversion on a complex stream

Sequence processing

6. Selecting and Building a Model

Introduction

Evaluating balancing with Auto Classifier

Building models with and without outliers

Using Neural Network for Feature Selection

Creating a bootstrap sample

Creating bagged logistic regression models

Using KNN to match similar cases

Using Auto Classifier to tune models

Next-Best-Offer for large datasets

7. Modeling – Assessment, Evaluation, Deployment, and Monitoring

Introduction

How (and why) to validate as well as test

Using classification trees to explore the predictions of a Neural Network

Correcting a confusion matrix for an imbalanced target variable by incorporating priors

Using aggregate to write cluster centers to Excel for conditional formatting

Creating a classification tree financial summary using aggregate and an Excel Export node

Reformatting data for reporting with a Transpose node

Changing formatting of fields in a Table node

Combining generated filters

8. CLEM Scripting

Introduction

Building iterative Neural Network forecasts

Quantifying variable importance with Monte Carlo simulation

Implementing champion/challenger model management

Detecting outliers with the jackknife method

Optimizing K-means cluster solutions

Automating time series forecasts

Automating HTML reports and graphs

Rolling your own modeling algorithm – Weibull analysis

A. Business Understanding

Introduction

Define business objectives by Tom Khabaza

Assessing the situation by Meta Brown

Translating your business objective into a data mining objective by Dean Abbott

Produce a project plan – ensuring a realistic timeline by Keith McCormick

Index

Customer Reviews

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1 star

Building models with and without outliers

The Anomaly Modeling node can automatically identify and remove outliers. Why not always remove outliers? Even when the data is examined closely, it can be difficult to decide whether any cases should be regarded as outliers and, if so, which. Even when the data miner feels confident about this, the internal or external client may not agree.

Some types of analysis are not affected much by outliers, for example, the calculation of a median. But many widely used modeling methods can be strongly influenced by the presence of outliers. A linear regression model can be shifted significantly by a single outlier in the data.

What are the risks? A model that is affected by an outlier may frequently predict values that are too high, or too low. The level of uncertainty in estimated values will be increased. When the predicted values are plotted against actual outcomes, viewers will likely sense that the graph looks or feels wrong, and the model does not fit...

IBM SPSS Modeler Cookbook

IBM SPSS Modeler Cookbook

Overview of this book

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IBM SPSS Modeler Cookbook

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