Book Image

IBM SPSS Modeler Cookbook

Book Image

IBM SPSS Modeler Cookbook

Overview of this book

IBM SPSS Modeler is a data mining workbench that enables you to explore data, identify important relationships that you can leverage, and build predictive models quickly allowing your organization to base its decisions on hard data not hunches or guesswork. IBM SPSS Modeler Cookbook takes you beyond the basics and shares the tips, the timesavers, and the workarounds that experts use to increase productivity and extract maximum value from data. The authors of this book are among the very best of these exponents, gurus who, in their brilliant and imaginative use of the tool, have pushed back the boundaries of applied analytics. By reading this book, you are learning from practitioners who have helped define the state of the art. Follow the industry standard data mining process, gaining new skills at each stage, from loading data to integrating results into everyday business practices. Get a handle on the most efficient ways of extracting data from your own sources, preparing it for exploration and modeling. Master the best methods for building models that will perform well in the workplace. Go beyond the basics and get the full power of your data mining workbench with this practical guide.
Table of Contents (17 chapters)
IBM SPSS Modeler Cookbook
Credits
Foreword
About the Authors
About the Reviewers
www.PacktPub.com
Preface
Index

Rolling your own modeling algorithm – Weibull analysis


Weibull analysis is a well-known technique for understanding the reliability of physical assets over time and is not directly supported in Modeler. The analysis is based on understanding the failure distribution of physical assets such as bearing, switches, electrical components, pipes (think corrosion), and so on. The only inputs to the model are the times to failure. A Weibull failure distribution is fit to the empirical failure distribution. In the two-parameter Weibull model, there are Alpha and Beta parameters. The parameters give insights into the failures:

  • Beta < 1 indicates infant mortality

  • Beta = 1 indicates random failures

  • Beta > 1 indicates wear-out

Alpha is the number of cycles where approximately 68 percent of circuit boards would have failed (and can also be used to calculate the MTTF (mean time to failure). Lastly, the CDF (cumulative distribution function), which can be calculated directly from the Weibull parameters...