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Causal Inference with Bayesian Networks

Causal Inference with Bayesian Networks

By : Yousri El Fattah, Reza Bagheri
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Causal Inference with Bayesian Networks

Causal Inference with Bayesian Networks

By: Yousri El Fattah, Reza Bagheri

Overview of this book

This practical guide explores Bayesian networks, graphical models, and causal inference for probabilistic reasoning and treatment effect estimation using real-world data. You’ll learn Bayesian networks, conditional independence, structural causal models (SCM), and intervention-based reasoning for causal analysis. The book explains how graphical models support probabilistic inference, decision-making, and knowledge representation across healthcare, economics, epidemiology, finance, and social sciences. You’ll work with probabilistic inference methods such as variable elimination, tree clustering, and Bayesian network reasoning. For causal inference, the book covers Pearl’s do-calculus, backdoor and front-door criteria, causal effect identification, and treatment effect estimation using observational data. You’ll also explore the potential outcomes framework and machine learning approaches for causal inference, including meta-learners for estimating conditional average treatment effects and heterogeneous treatment effects. Practical examples and exercises in R and Python help reinforce concepts and build implementation skills for causal modeling workflows. By the end of the book, you’ll be able to design Bayesian network models, perform probabilistic and causal inference, and develop practical causal analysis applications for evidence-based decision-making.
Table of Contents (18 chapters)
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16
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Index

Causal Inference with Machine Learning

This chapter presents four meta-learning algorithms that are most prominently employed for estimating the Conditional Average Treatment Effect (CATE). Meta-learners are machine learning algorithms that derive information from the results of other machine learning algorithms, known as base learners. The goal of estimating the CATE is to gain insights into heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs), where treatment effects vary across population individuals and subgroups. For example, some individuals may respond to treatment with more or less positive or negative effects, or no effect at all. Evaluating HTEs provides valuable information to decision-makers and policymakers in real-world applications, including medicine, epidemiology, economics, and social research. We demonstrate the implementation of the meta-learners in Python. We describe a causal model for generating synthetic data, which is used throughout to evaluate the performance of the implemented...

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