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Causal Inference with Bayesian Networks

Causal Inference with Bayesian Networks

By : Yousri El Fattah, Reza Bagheri
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Causal Inference with Bayesian Networks

Causal Inference with Bayesian Networks

By: Yousri El Fattah, Reza Bagheri

Overview of this book

This practical guide explores Bayesian networks, graphical models, and causal inference for probabilistic reasoning and treatment effect estimation using real-world data. You’ll learn Bayesian networks, conditional independence, structural causal models (SCM), and intervention-based reasoning for causal analysis. The book explains how graphical models support probabilistic inference, decision-making, and knowledge representation across healthcare, economics, epidemiology, finance, and social sciences. You’ll work with probabilistic inference methods such as variable elimination, tree clustering, and Bayesian network reasoning. For causal inference, the book covers Pearl’s do-calculus, backdoor and front-door criteria, causal effect identification, and treatment effect estimation using observational data. You’ll also explore the potential outcomes framework and machine learning approaches for causal inference, including meta-learners for estimating conditional average treatment effects and heterogeneous treatment effects. Practical examples and exercises in R and Python help reinforce concepts and build implementation skills for causal modeling workflows. By the end of the book, you’ll be able to design Bayesian network models, perform probabilistic and causal inference, and develop practical causal analysis applications for evidence-based decision-making.
Table of Contents (18 chapters)
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16
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Index

Causal Inference in Epidemiology

Epidemiology is a branch of the medical sciences that investigates the spread and causes of diseases within groups of people. The goal of many epidemiological studies is to estimate the causal effect of a specific exposure on a particular outcome. Survival analysis is concerned with estimating treatment effects on the expected time until the occurrence of an event. In this chapter, we present a detailed analysis of the NHEFS (National Health Epidemiologic Follow-up Study) dataset and use causal survival analysis methods to estimate the effect of smoking cessation on mortality. We will demonstrate how the lifelines and causallib packages in Python can be used to perform the causal survival analysis.

In this chapter, we’re going to cover the following main topics:

  • Causal inference in epidemiology
  • Survival analysis
  • NHEFS dataset
  • Survival analysis of NHEFS dataset
  • Estimation using inverse probability of treatment...
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Causal Inference with Bayesian Networks
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