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Causal Inference with Bayesian Networks

Causal Inference with Bayesian Networks

By : Yousri El Fattah, Reza Bagheri
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Causal Inference with Bayesian Networks

Causal Inference with Bayesian Networks

By: Yousri El Fattah, Reza Bagheri

Overview of this book

This practical guide explores Bayesian networks, graphical models, and causal inference for probabilistic reasoning and treatment effect estimation using real-world data. You’ll learn Bayesian networks, conditional independence, structural causal models (SCM), and intervention-based reasoning for causal analysis. The book explains how graphical models support probabilistic inference, decision-making, and knowledge representation across healthcare, economics, epidemiology, finance, and social sciences. You’ll work with probabilistic inference methods such as variable elimination, tree clustering, and Bayesian network reasoning. For causal inference, the book covers Pearl’s do-calculus, backdoor and front-door criteria, causal effect identification, and treatment effect estimation using observational data. You’ll also explore the potential outcomes framework and machine learning approaches for causal inference, including meta-learners for estimating conditional average treatment effects and heterogeneous treatment effects. Practical examples and exercises in R and Python help reinforce concepts and build implementation skills for causal modeling workflows. By the end of the book, you’ll be able to design Bayesian network models, perform probabilistic and causal inference, and develop practical causal analysis applications for evidence-based decision-making.
Table of Contents (18 chapters)
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16
Other Books You May Enjoy
17
Index

Summary

A Bayesian network is a factored representation of a complete probability distribution according to a directed acyclic graph . A BN satisfies the local Markov property that every node in graph is conditionally independent of all its nondescendants, given all its parents in the distribution .

The graphical condition of d-separation between disjoint subsets of nodes , and means that nodes in block all paths between nodes in and nodes in. A path is blocked if it travels through a node in whose incident edges are non-colliding, or it passes through a collider node, but that node and all its descendants are outside . By edges colliding, we mean that the direction of the arrows is in opposing directions.

We use the notation to denote all triples such that d-separates and in , to denote all triples such that is conditionally independent of given in ,

A Bayesian network satisfies the global Markov property if is a subset of and we say is an I-map for or that and are...

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Causal Inference with Bayesian Networks
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