Book Image

Hands-On Simulation Modeling with Python

By : Giuseppe Ciaburro
Book Image

Hands-On Simulation Modeling with Python

By: Giuseppe Ciaburro

Overview of this book

Simulation modeling helps you to create digital prototypes of physical models to analyze how they work and predict their performance in the real world. With this comprehensive guide, you'll understand various computational statistical simulations using Python. Starting with the fundamentals of simulation modeling, you'll understand concepts such as randomness and explore data generating processes, resampling methods, and bootstrapping techniques. You'll then cover key algorithms such as Monte Carlo simulations and Markov decision processes, which are used to develop numerical simulation models, and discover how they can be used to solve real-world problems. As you advance, you'll develop simulation models to help you get accurate results and enhance decision-making processes. Using optimization techniques, you'll learn to modify the performance of a model to improve results and make optimal use of resources. The book will guide you in creating a digital prototype using practical use cases for financial engineering, prototyping project management to improve planning, and simulating physical phenomena using neural networks. By the end of this book, you'll have learned how to construct and deploy simulation models of your own to overcome real-world challenges.
Table of Contents (16 chapters)
1
Section 1: Getting Started with Numerical Simulation
5
Section 2: Simulation Modeling Algorithms and Techniques
10
Section 3: Real-World Applications

Summary

In this chapter, we addressed several practical model simulation applications based on project management-related models. To start, we looked at the essential elements of project management and how these factors can be simulated to retrieve useful information.

Next, we tackled the problem of running a tiny forest for the wood trade. We treated the problem as an MDP, summarizing the basic characteristics of these processes and then moved on to a practical discussion of them. We defined the elements of the problem and then we saw how to use the policy evaluation and policy improvement algorithms to obtain the optimal forest management policy. This problem was addressed using the MDPtoolbox package, which is available from Python.

Subsequently, we addressed the problem of evaluating the execution times of a project using Monte Carlo simulation. To start, we defined the task execution diagram by specifying which tasks are performed in series and which are performed in parallel...