You should by now have been running a Kanban system for two weeks and we hope you have seen some improvements and got some measurements in place. It's now time to try and predict the future, that is, what to release and when. First we want to set your expectations correct; there are no ways to get forecasting correct for sure.
"Prediction is very difficult. Especially about the future" | ||
| --Niels Bohr | ||
Since it's so hard to predict the future, instead of putting a lot of effort in planning, we choose a way of working that gives us early warnings if and when plans go wrong. That gives us a possibility to react in time if needed.
Our recommendation is to have the following three things in mind when you decide your planning method:
Base your planning on observed facts instead of advanced guessing. That means basing your plans on historic facts and interpolating future expectations. As time passes you learn more so update your plan continuously as your knowledge...