Book Image

Hands-On Predictive Analytics with Python

By : Alvaro Fuentes
Book Image

Hands-On Predictive Analytics with Python

By: Alvaro Fuentes

Overview of this book

Predictive analytics is an applied field that employs a variety of quantitative methods using data to make predictions. It involves much more than just throwing data onto a computer to build a model. This book provides practical coverage to help you understand the most important concepts of predictive analytics. Using practical, step-by-step examples, we build predictive analytics solutions while using cutting-edge Python tools and packages. The book's step-by-step approach starts by defining the problem and moves on to identifying relevant data. We will also be performing data preparation, exploring and visualizing relationships, building models, tuning, evaluating, and deploying model. Each stage has relevant practical examples and efficient Python code. You will work with models such as KNN, Random Forests, and neural networks using the most important libraries in Python's data science stack: NumPy, Pandas, Matplotlib, Seaborn, Keras, Dash, and so on. In addition to hands-on code examples, you will find intuitive explanations of the inner workings of the main techniques and algorithms used in predictive analytics. By the end of this book, you will be all set to build high-performance predictive analytics solutions using Python programming.
Table of Contents (11 chapters)

Model Evaluation

So far, we have learned a lot about predictive analytics and the fundamentals of regression models—classification models—including simple models such as multiple linear regression and very complex models such as multilayer perceptrons. We know how to train models to make predictions and that it is very important to set apart a testing set for evaluation because we want to evaluate how the model will perform with data that it has not seen before, that is, we want the model to learn something that can be generalized to unseen data.

So far, we have been using generic metrics to evaluate model performance—Mean Squared Error (MSE) for regression problems and accuracy for classification problems. However, in every predictive analytics project, you have to think carefully about the metrics you are using for evaluating the model and the general evaluation...