Book Image

Hands-On Predictive Analytics with Python

By : Alvaro Fuentes
Book Image

Hands-On Predictive Analytics with Python

By: Alvaro Fuentes

Overview of this book

Predictive analytics is an applied field that employs a variety of quantitative methods using data to make predictions. It involves much more than just throwing data onto a computer to build a model. This book provides practical coverage to help you understand the most important concepts of predictive analytics. Using practical, step-by-step examples, we build predictive analytics solutions while using cutting-edge Python tools and packages. The book's step-by-step approach starts by defining the problem and moves on to identifying relevant data. We will also be performing data preparation, exploring and visualizing relationships, building models, tuning, evaluating, and deploying model. Each stage has relevant practical examples and efficient Python code. You will work with models such as KNN, Random Forests, and neural networks using the most important libraries in Python's data science stack: NumPy, Pandas, Matplotlib, Seaborn, Keras, Dash, and so on. In addition to hands-on code examples, you will find intuitive explanations of the inner workings of the main techniques and algorithms used in predictive analytics. By the end of this book, you will be all set to build high-performance predictive analytics solutions using Python programming.
Table of Contents (11 chapters)

Logistic regression

This is a mandatory model to know if you are performing a classification task using machine learning, because it is simple and is often used as a first benchmark to evaluate the performance of more complicated models. For binary classification, this model produces the conditional probability of the target belonging to the positive class. This model is another example of a parametric model; the learning algorithm will try to find the best combination (vector) of parameters such that the estimated probabilities produced by the equation are as follows:

We are close to 1 when the target belongs to the positive class and close to 0 when the target belongs to the negative class. So, by definition, this model predicts probabilities, and then we use this probability to predict classes. To understand it better, let's produce our first simple logistic regression...