Book Image

Hands-On Predictive Analytics with Python

By : Alvaro Fuentes
Book Image

Hands-On Predictive Analytics with Python

By: Alvaro Fuentes

Overview of this book

Predictive analytics is an applied field that employs a variety of quantitative methods using data to make predictions. It involves much more than just throwing data onto a computer to build a model. This book provides practical coverage to help you understand the most important concepts of predictive analytics. Using practical, step-by-step examples, we build predictive analytics solutions while using cutting-edge Python tools and packages. The book's step-by-step approach starts by defining the problem and moves on to identifying relevant data. We will also be performing data preparation, exploring and visualizing relationships, building models, tuning, evaluating, and deploying model. Each stage has relevant practical examples and efficient Python code. You will work with models such as KNN, Random Forests, and neural networks using the most important libraries in Python's data science stack: NumPy, Pandas, Matplotlib, Seaborn, Keras, Dash, and so on. In addition to hands-on code examples, you will find intuitive explanations of the inner workings of the main techniques and algorithms used in predictive analytics. By the end of this book, you will be all set to build high-performance predictive analytics solutions using Python programming.
Table of Contents (11 chapters)

Evaluation of regression models

When evaluating a model, we have numerical metrics and visualization techniques that are complementary ways to asses model performance. In this section, we will go back to our diamond prices problem and we will talk about the most common metrics and plots that are used to evaluate regression models. We will also define our own evaluation metric in the context of the business problem we are trying to solve.

Before we begin, I would like to make a clarification—in this section, we use interchangeably the terms errors and residuals in reference to the difference between actual and predicted value: actual_price – predicted_price. Technically, the term error refers to a population concept and has to do with a theoretical population value. So, although technically we should not use the term errors meaning residuals, for the sake of clarity...