Book Image

Bayesian Analysis with Python - Second Edition

By : Osvaldo Martin
4.5 (2)
Book Image

Bayesian Analysis with Python - Second Edition

4.5 (2)
By: Osvaldo Martin

Overview of this book

The second edition of Bayesian Analysis with Python is an introduction to the main concepts of applied Bayesian inference and its practical implementation in Python using PyMC3, a state-of-the-art probabilistic programming library, and ArviZ, a new library for exploratory analysis of Bayesian models. The main concepts of Bayesian statistics are covered using a practical and computational approach. Synthetic and real data sets are used to introduce several types of models, such as generalized linear models for regression and classification, mixture models, hierarchical models, and Gaussian processes, among others. By the end of the book, you will have a working knowledge of probabilistic modeling and you will be able to design and implement Bayesian models for your own data science problems. After reading the book you will be better prepared to delve into more advanced material or specialized statistical modeling if you need to.
Table of Contents (11 chapters)
9
Where To Go Next?

Groups comparison

One pretty common statistical analysis is group comparison. We may be interested in how well patients respond to a certain drug, the reduction of car accidents by the introduction of a new traffic regulation, student performance under different teaching approaches, and so on.

Sometimes, this type of question is framed under the hypothesis testing scenario with the goal of declaring a result statistically significant. Relying only on statistical significance can be problematic for many reasons: on the one hand, statistical significance is not equivalent to practical significance; on the other hand, a really small effect can be declared significant just by collecting enough data. The idea of hypothesis testing is connected to the concept of p-values. This is not a fundamental connection but a cultural one; people are used to thinking that way mostly because that...