Book Image

Bayesian Analysis with Python - Second Edition

By : Osvaldo Martin
4.5 (2)
Book Image

Bayesian Analysis with Python - Second Edition

4.5 (2)
By: Osvaldo Martin

Overview of this book

The second edition of Bayesian Analysis with Python is an introduction to the main concepts of applied Bayesian inference and its practical implementation in Python using PyMC3, a state-of-the-art probabilistic programming library, and ArviZ, a new library for exploratory analysis of Bayesian models. The main concepts of Bayesian statistics are covered using a practical and computational approach. Synthetic and real data sets are used to introduce several types of models, such as generalized linear models for regression and classification, mixture models, hierarchical models, and Gaussian processes, among others. By the end of the book, you will have a working knowledge of probabilistic modeling and you will be able to design and implement Bayesian models for your own data science problems. After reading the book you will be better prepared to delve into more advanced material or specialized statistical modeling if you need to.
Table of Contents (11 chapters)
9
Where To Go Next?

Modeling functions

We will begin our discussion of Gaussian processes by first describing a way to represent functions as probabilistic objects. We may think of a function, , as a mapping from a set of inputs, , to a set of outputs, . Thus, we can write:

One way to represent functions is by listing for each value its corresponding value. In fact, you may remember this way of representing functions from elementary school:

x y
0.00 0.46
0.33 2.60
0.67 5.90
1.00 7.91

As a general case, the values of and will live on the real line; thus, we can see a function as a (potentially) infinite and ordered list of paired (, ) values. The order is important because, if we shuffle the values, we will get different functions.

A function can also be represented as a (potentially) infinite array indexed by the values of , with the important distinction that the values of...