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Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python

Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python - Second Edition

By : Manu Joseph, Jeffrey Tackes
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Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python

Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python

5 (1)
By: Manu Joseph, Jeffrey Tackes

Overview of this book

Predicting the future, whether it's market trends, energy demand, or website traffic, has never been more crucial. This practical, hands-on guide empowers you to build and deploy powerful time series forecasting models. Whether you’re working with traditional statistical methods or cutting-edge deep learning architectures, this book provides structured learning and best practices for both. Starting with the basics, this data science book introduces fundamental time series concepts, such as ARIMA and exponential smoothing, before gradually progressing to advanced topics, such as machine learning for time series, deep neural networks, and transformers. As part of your fundamentals training, you’ll learn preprocessing, feature engineering, and model evaluation. As you progress, you’ll also explore global forecasting models, ensemble methods, and probabilistic forecasting techniques. This new edition goes deeper into transformer architectures and probabilistic forecasting, including new content on the latest time series models, conformal prediction, and hierarchical forecasting. Whether you seek advanced deep learning insights or specialized architecture implementations, this edition provides practical strategies and new content to elevate your forecasting skills.
Table of Contents (27 chapters)
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1
Part 1: Getting Familiar with Time Series
6
Part 2: Machine Learning for Time Series
13
Part 3: Deep Learning for Time Series
21
Part 4: Mechanics of Forecasting
25
Other Books You May Enjoy
26
Index

Summary

Although we learned about the basic blocks of DL in the previous chapter, we put all of that into action while we used those blocks in common modeling patterns using PyTorch.

We saw how standard sequence models such as RNN, LSTM, and GRU can be used for time series prediction, and then we moved on to another paradigm of models, called Seq2Seq models. Here, we talked about how we can mix and match encoders and decoders to get the model we want. Encoders and decoders can be arbitrarily complex. Although we looked at simple encoders and decoders, it is certainly possible to have something like a combination of a convolution block and an LSTM block working together for the encoder. Last but not least, we talked about teacher forcing and how it can help models train and converge faster and also with some performance boost.

In the next chapter, we will be tackling a subject that has captured a lot of attention (pun intended) in the past few years: attention and transformers...

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