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Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python

Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python - Second Edition

By : Manu Joseph, Jeffrey Tackes
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Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python

Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python

5 (2)
By: Manu Joseph, Jeffrey Tackes

Overview of this book

Predicting the future, whether it's market trends, energy demand, or website traffic, has never been more crucial. This practical, hands-on guide empowers you to build and deploy powerful time series forecasting models. Whether you’re working with traditional statistical methods or cutting-edge deep learning architectures, this book provides structured learning and best practices for both. Starting with the basics, this data science book introduces fundamental time series concepts, such as ARIMA and exponential smoothing, before gradually progressing to advanced topics, such as machine learning for time series, deep neural networks, and transformers. As part of your fundamentals training, you’ll learn preprocessing, feature engineering, and model evaluation. As you progress, you’ll also explore global forecasting models, ensemble methods, and probabilistic forecasting techniques. This new edition goes deeper into transformer architectures and probabilistic forecasting, including new content on the latest time series models, conformal prediction, and hierarchical forecasting. Whether you seek advanced deep learning insights or specialized architecture implementations, this edition provides practical strategies and new content to elevate your forecasting skills. *Email sign-up and proof of purchase required
Table of Contents (27 chapters)
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1
Part 1: Getting Familiar with Time Series
6
Part 2: Machine Learning for Time Series
13
Part 3: Deep Learning for Time Series
21
Part 4: Mechanics of Forecasting
25
Other Books You May Enjoy
26
Index

Summary

After having built a strong foundation on deep learning models in the last few chapters, we started to look at a new paradigm of global models in the context of deep learning models. We learned how to use PyTorch Forecasting, an open-source library for forecasting using deep learning, and used the feature-filled TimeSeriesDataset to start developing our own models.

We started off with a very simple LSTM in the global context and saw how we can add time-varying information, static information, and the scale of individual time series to the features to make models better. We closed by looking at an alternating sampling procedure for mini-batches that helps us present a more balanced view of the problem in each batch. This chapter is by no means an exhaustive list of all such techniques to make the forecasting models better. Instead, this chapter aims to build the right kind of thinking that is necessary to work on your own models and make them work better than before.

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