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Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python

Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python - Second Edition

By : Manu Joseph, Jeffrey Tackes
5 (1)
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Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python

Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python

5 (1)
By: Manu Joseph, Jeffrey Tackes

Overview of this book

Predicting the future, whether it's market trends, energy demand, or website traffic, has never been more crucial. This practical, hands-on guide empowers you to build and deploy powerful time series forecasting models. Whether you’re working with traditional statistical methods or cutting-edge deep learning architectures, this book provides structured learning and best practices for both. Starting with the basics, this data science book introduces fundamental time series concepts, such as ARIMA and exponential smoothing, before gradually progressing to advanced topics, such as machine learning for time series, deep neural networks, and transformers. As part of your fundamentals training, you’ll learn preprocessing, feature engineering, and model evaluation. As you progress, you’ll also explore global forecasting models, ensemble methods, and probabilistic forecasting techniques. This new edition goes deeper into transformer architectures and probabilistic forecasting, including new content on the latest time series models, conformal prediction, and hierarchical forecasting. Whether you seek advanced deep learning insights or specialized architecture implementations, this edition provides practical strategies and new content to elevate your forecasting skills.
Table of Contents (27 chapters)
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1
Part 1: Getting Familiar with Time Series
6
Part 2: Machine Learning for Time Series
13
Part 3: Deep Learning for Time Series
21
Part 4: Mechanics of Forecasting
25
Other Books You May Enjoy
26
Index

What is a time series?

To keep it simple, a time series is a set of observations taken sequentially in time. The focus is on the word time. If we keep taking the same observation at different points in time, we will get a time series. For example, if you keep recording the number of bars of chocolate you have in a month, you'll end up with a time series of your chocolate consumption. Suppose you are recording your weight at the beginning of every month. You get another time series of your weight. Is there any relation between the two time series? Most likely, yeah. But we can analyze that scientifically by the end of this book.

A few other examples of time series are the weekly closing price of a stock that you follow, daily rainfall or snow in your city, or hourly readings of your heartbeat from your smartwatch.

Types of time series

There are two types of time series data based on time-intervals, as outlined here:

Regular time series: This is the most common type of time series...

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