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Machine Learning for Time Series with Python

Machine Learning for Time Series with Python - Second Edition

By : Ben Auffarth
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Machine Learning for Time Series with Python

Machine Learning for Time Series with Python

By: Ben Auffarth

Overview of this book

The Python ecosystem offers a wide range of tools for time series analysis and time series forecasting. Machine Learning for Time Series, Second Edition provides a practical guide to building forecasting systems while developing a solid understanding of modern predictive modeling techniques. Starting with the fundamentals of time series data, you'll learn how to prepare datasets, perform feature engineering, and build forecasting pipelines. The book covers traditional methods such as ARIMA, SARIMA, and GARCH, alongside machine learning approaches including gradient boosting, recurrent neural networks, and deep learning models. Through practical examples and clear explanations, you'll learn how to choose the right model for the right problem and improve forecasting accuracy across multiple applications. Updated content includes forecasting and signal extraction for financial markets, plus case studies from operations management, digital marketing, healthcare, and financial forecasting. By the end of this book, you'll be able to confidently perform time series analysis and build effective forecasting systems using Python.
Table of Contents (7 chapters)
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In Chapter 3, we built forecasting baselines using classical methods like ARIMA and ETS. More importantly, we established a rigorous, time-aware validation framework to prove their reliability and provide a performance benchmark that any advanced model must exceed.

With a trustworthy baseline in hand, the next question is always: Can we do better? This chapter is our entry into modern machine learning for forecasting, where we move beyond classical statistical components to more flexible models. We will introduce the paradigm shift that underpins modern forecasting: treating time series problems as a supervised regression task.

Building models is only half the battle. As high-profile failures at companies like Zillow and Nike have shown, the tools we choose can either amplify risk or help us build more resilient systems. We will focus not just on what the tools do, but on how they help us manage risk in production...

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