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Time Series with PyTorch
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While decomposition provides valuable insights for understanding trend, seasonality, and residual components, there is another pattern that is fundamental to our understanding of time-series data: temporal dependence.
Time series data is unique in that observations are ordered chronologically, and this ordering often carries significant meaning. Unlike in many other types of data analysis, where observations are assumed to be independent, in time series, the value at any given point is often related to the values that precede it. This relationship between current and past values is what we refer to as temporal dependence.
It is only truly possible to create reasonable predictions of a probable future if we can extract some information about the past observations that carry information about future behavior; in other words, forecasts are built on models of past patterns and data relationships projected into the future...