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Book Overview & Buying
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Table Of Contents
Time Series with PyTorch
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In this chapter you have learned that uncertainty quantification is critical for giving us confidence in our point predictions, and is a useful tool for tracking the quality of our forecasts. We introduced conformal intervals and built an intuitive understanding of how error metrics such as absolute error can be used to measure non-conformity to historical data relative to a regression model. You now understand that we rank the errors and standardize them to give us a probability measure that we can apply to our data, one that has guarantees about coverage and validity. Finally, you learned how to apply this with a forecasting model by weighting EnbPI, which we applied to a PyTorch model. This is very much the start of the uncertainty quantification journey, but you now have the tools to break into this fast-moving and fascinating field of research.