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Book Overview & Buying
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Table Of Contents
Time Series with PyTorch
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Once we have trained a model and made our predictions, within our evaluative design, we will want to compare them to actual data, so that we can get some understanding of how close our models’ predictions are to the actuals. We can measure performance with a number of metrics; we can even create our own. Each metric has its own strengths and weaknesses. It is crucial to select appropriate error measures based on your data characteristics and business requirements.
Remember from the beginning of the chapter that when evaluating forecasts, you need to consider bias and variance. These components are crucial because they lead to different business decisions. For example, an energy company typically sees consistent seasonal patterns in line with minimal trend, while a new company might experience rapid growth and less predictable patterns.
Selecting an appropriate error metric depends on understanding how each metric weights values and what statistical properties...