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Time Series with PyTorch

Time Series with PyTorch

By : Graeme Davidson, Lei Ma
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Time Series with PyTorch

Time Series with PyTorch

By: Graeme Davidson, Lei Ma

Overview of this book

Neural networks are powerful tools for time-series forecasting, but applying them effectively requires both practical experience and a clear understanding of architectures, training strategies, and evaluation methods. This book brings these ideas together in a structured and practical way. Starting with PyTorch fundamentals, you will build neural networks from scratch and progress through recurrent networks, attention mechanisms, and transformers before exploring forecasting architectures such as N-BEATS, N-HiTS, and the Temporal Fusion Transformer. Along the way, you will learn robust hyperparameter tuning, conformal prediction for uncertainty estimation, and reliable evaluation practices. Unlike most forecasting books, this text also explores topics often overlooked or treated separately, including transfer learning across collections of series, synthetic data generation with diffusion models, and self-supervised representation learning. Beyond forecasting, later chapters cover classification, clustering, anomaly detection, and embeddings for large-scale time-series modeling. Throughout, the focus is pragmatic: theory is reinforced through experimentation and implementation so you can apply these methods confidently to real-world time-series problems.
Table of Contents (22 chapters)
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20
Other Books You May Enjoy
21
Index

Uncertainty quantification

Inherent to any forecast predictions is an element of uncertainty as a consequence of factors that are unknown to us, along with difficulties in measuring and modeling our data. In general, we can say that any model we build is done so with incomplete data to create approximations of reality, which will produce predictions that are influenced by many sources of uncertainty.

When you create a supervised regression model, you will separate data into exogenous variables () and dependent variables (), so you can regress exogenous variables, such as price, on dependent values, like sales. You are attempting to capture patterns in training data, when passing this data through models, that may be used to predict (sales in this case) for new points . If you have price of £0.6, your model should predict a value of sales (), based on the learned model parameters; this is a point prediction. While useful, point predictions do not provide us with any understanding...

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Time Series with PyTorch
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