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Book Overview & Buying
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Table Of Contents
Time Series with PyTorch
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“There are two kinds of forecasters: those who don’t know, and those who don’t know they don’t know” —John Kenneth Galbraith
Once you have built a model, how do you know if it is any good? On the surface, this appears to be a simple question; surely the answer is that the model performs well in the future? But let’s say we want to predict the sales of a soft drink such as IRN-BRU (forgive my Scottishness); we could simply select any modeling approach, pass through all available data, and then predict forward into the future forever. Job done! But what happens when unexpected events occur, such as governments globally restricting movement, disrupting supply chains, and drastically changing consumer demand? Even subtler events happen daily that can shift behavior patterns and, consequently, a forecast’s usefulness. While no evaluation strategy will allow you to predict a global shutdown perfectly...