Book Image

Machine Learning for Algorithmic Trading - Second Edition

By : Stefan Jansen
Book Image

Machine Learning for Algorithmic Trading - Second Edition

By: Stefan Jansen

Overview of this book

The explosive growth of digital data has boosted the demand for expertise in trading strategies that use machine learning (ML). This revised and expanded second edition enables you to build and evaluate sophisticated supervised, unsupervised, and reinforcement learning models. This book introduces end-to-end machine learning for the trading workflow, from the idea and feature engineering to model optimization, strategy design, and backtesting. It illustrates this by using examples ranging from linear models and tree-based ensembles to deep-learning techniques from cutting edge research. This edition shows how to work with market, fundamental, and alternative data, such as tick data, minute and daily bars, SEC filings, earnings call transcripts, financial news, or satellite images to generate tradeable signals. It illustrates how to engineer financial features or alpha factors that enable an ML model to predict returns from price data for US and international stocks and ETFs. It also shows how to assess the signal content of new features using Alphalens and SHAP values and includes a new appendix with over one hundred alpha factor examples. By the end, you will be proficient in translating ML model predictions into a trading strategy that operates at daily or intraday horizons, and in evaluating its performance.
Table of Contents (27 chapters)
24
References
25
Index

CNNs for Financial Time Series and Satellite Images

In this chapter, we introduce the first of several specialized deep learning architectures that we will cover in Part 4. Deep convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have enabled superhuman performance in various computer vision tasks such as classifying images and video and detecting and recognizing objects in images. CNNs can also extract signals from time-series data that shares certain characteristics with image data and have been successfully applied to speech recognition (Abdel-Hamid et al. 2014). Moreover, they have been shown to deliver state-of-the-art performance on time-series classification across various domains (Ismail Fawaz et al. 2019).

CNNs are named after a linear algebra operation called a convolution that replaces the general matrix multiplication typical of feedforward networks (discussed in the last chapter) in at least one of their layers. We will show how convolutions work and why they are particularly...