Book Image

Machine Learning for Algorithmic Trading - Second Edition

By : Stefan Jansen
Book Image

Machine Learning for Algorithmic Trading - Second Edition

By: Stefan Jansen

Overview of this book

The explosive growth of digital data has boosted the demand for expertise in trading strategies that use machine learning (ML). This revised and expanded second edition enables you to build and evaluate sophisticated supervised, unsupervised, and reinforcement learning models. This book introduces end-to-end machine learning for the trading workflow, from the idea and feature engineering to model optimization, strategy design, and backtesting. It illustrates this by using examples ranging from linear models and tree-based ensembles to deep-learning techniques from cutting edge research. This edition shows how to work with market, fundamental, and alternative data, such as tick data, minute and daily bars, SEC filings, earnings call transcripts, financial news, or satellite images to generate tradeable signals. It illustrates how to engineer financial features or alpha factors that enable an ML model to predict returns from price data for US and international stocks and ETFs. It also shows how to assess the signal content of new features using Alphalens and SHAP values and includes a new appendix with over one hundred alpha factor examples. By the end, you will be proficient in translating ML model predictions into a trading strategy that operates at daily or intraday horizons, and in evaluating its performance.
Table of Contents (27 chapters)
24
References
25
Index

RNNs for time series with TensorFlow 2

In this section, we illustrate how to build recurrent neural nets using the TensorFlow 2 library for various scenarios. The first set of models includes the regression and classification of univariate and multivariate time series. The second set of tasks focuses on text data for sentiment analysis using text data converted to word embeddings (see Chapter 16, Word Embeddings for Earnings Calls and SEC Filings).

More specifically, we'll first demonstrate how to prepare time-series data to predict the next value for univariate time series with a single LSTM layer to predict stock index values.

Next, we'll build a deep RNN with three distinct inputs to classify asset price movements. To this end, we'll combine a two-layer, stacked LSTM with learned embeddings and one-hot encoded categorical data. Finally, we will demonstrate how to model multivariate time series using an RNN.

Univariate regression – predicting the...