Sign In Start Free Trial
Account

Add to playlist

Create a Playlist

Modal Close icon
You need to login to use this feature.
  • Book Overview & Buying Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python
  • Table Of Contents Toc
Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python

Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python

By : Manu Joseph
4.2 (29)
close
close
Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python

Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python

4.2 (29)
By: Manu Joseph

Overview of this book

We live in a serendipitous era where the explosion in the quantum of data collected and a renewed interest in data-driven techniques such as machine learning (ML), has changed the landscape of analytics, and with it, time series forecasting. This book, filled with industry-tested tips and tricks, takes you beyond commonly used classical statistical methods such as ARIMA and introduces to you the latest techniques from the world of ML. This is a comprehensive guide to analyzing, visualizing, and creating state-of-the-art forecasting systems, complete with common topics such as ML and deep learning (DL) as well as rarely touched-upon topics such as global forecasting models, cross-validation strategies, and forecast metrics. You’ll begin by exploring the basics of data handling, data visualization, and classical statistical methods before moving on to ML and DL models for time series forecasting. This book takes you on a hands-on journey in which you’ll develop state-of-the-art ML (linear regression to gradient-boosted trees) and DL (feed-forward neural networks, LSTMs, and transformers) models on a real-world dataset along with exploring practical topics such as interpretability. By the end of this book, you’ll be able to build world-class time series forecasting systems and tackle problems in the real world.
Table of Contents (26 chapters)
close
close
1
Part 1 – Getting Familiar with Time Series
6
Part 2 – Machine Learning for Time Series
13
Part 3 – Deep Learning for Time Series
20
Part 4 – Mechanics of Forecasting

Setting a Strong Baseline Forecast

In the previous chapter, we saw some techniques we can use to understand time series data, do some Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA), and so on. But now, let’s get to the crux of the matter – time series forecasting. The point of understanding the dataset and looking at patterns, seasonality, and so on was to make the job of forecasting that series easier. And with any machine learning exercise, one of the first things we need to establish before going further is a baseline.

A baseline is a simple model that provides reasonable results without requiring a lot of time to come up with them. Many people think of baselines as something that is derived from common sense, such as an average or some rule of thumb. But as a best practice, a baseline can be as sophisticated as we want it to be, so long as it is quickly and easily implemented. Any further progress we want to make will be in terms of the performance of this baseline.

In this...

CONTINUE READING
83
Tech Concepts
36
Programming languages
73
Tech Tools
Icon Unlimited access to the largest independent learning library in tech of over 8,000 expert-authored tech books and videos.
Icon Innovative learning tools, including AI book assistants, code context explainers, and text-to-speech.
Icon 50+ new titles added per month and exclusive early access to books as they are being written.
Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python
notes
bookmark Notes and Bookmarks search Search in title playlist Add to playlist download Download options font-size Font size

Change the font size

margin-width Margin width

Change margin width

day-mode Day/Sepia/Night Modes

Change background colour

Close icon Search
Country selected

Close icon Your notes and bookmarks

Confirmation

Modal Close icon
claim successful

Buy this book with your credits?

Modal Close icon
Are you sure you want to buy this book with one of your credits?
Close
YES, BUY

Submit Your Feedback

Modal Close icon
Modal Close icon
Modal Close icon