Book Image

Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python

By : Manu Joseph
5 (1)
Book Image

Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python

5 (1)
By: Manu Joseph

Overview of this book

We live in a serendipitous era where the explosion in the quantum of data collected and a renewed interest in data-driven techniques such as machine learning (ML), has changed the landscape of analytics, and with it, time series forecasting. This book, filled with industry-tested tips and tricks, takes you beyond commonly used classical statistical methods such as ARIMA and introduces to you the latest techniques from the world of ML. This is a comprehensive guide to analyzing, visualizing, and creating state-of-the-art forecasting systems, complete with common topics such as ML and deep learning (DL) as well as rarely touched-upon topics such as global forecasting models, cross-validation strategies, and forecast metrics. You’ll begin by exploring the basics of data handling, data visualization, and classical statistical methods before moving on to ML and DL models for time series forecasting. This book takes you on a hands-on journey in which you’ll develop state-of-the-art ML (linear regression to gradient-boosted trees) and DL (feed-forward neural networks, LSTMs, and transformers) models on a real-world dataset along with exploring practical topics such as interpretability. By the end of this book, you’ll be able to build world-class time series forecasting systems and tackle problems in the real world.
Table of Contents (26 chapters)
1
Part 1 – Getting Familiar with Time Series
6
Part 2 – Machine Learning for Time Series
13
Part 3 – Deep Learning for Time Series
20
Part 4 – Mechanics of Forecasting

Summary

Our journey with deep learning for time series has finally reached a conclusion with us reviewing a few specialized architectures for time series forecasting. We now understand how different models such as N-BEATS, N-BEATSx, N-HiTS, Informer, Autoformer, and TFT work.

We also looked at how we can apply those models using PyTorch Forecasting. For the models such as Informer and Autoformer that were not implemented in PyTorch Forecasting, we saw how we can port normal PyTorch models into a form that can be used with PyTorch Forecasting. Models such as N-BEATS and TFT also offer interpretability and we explored those use cases as well.

To top this off, we covered probabilistic forecasting at a high level and provided references so that you can start your journey of looking at them. This brings this part of this book to a close. At this point, you should be much more comfortable with using DL for time series forecasting problems.

In the next part of this book, we will...