Book Image

Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python

By : Manu Joseph
5 (1)
Book Image

Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python

5 (1)
By: Manu Joseph

Overview of this book

We live in a serendipitous era where the explosion in the quantum of data collected and a renewed interest in data-driven techniques such as machine learning (ML), has changed the landscape of analytics, and with it, time series forecasting. This book, filled with industry-tested tips and tricks, takes you beyond commonly used classical statistical methods such as ARIMA and introduces to you the latest techniques from the world of ML. This is a comprehensive guide to analyzing, visualizing, and creating state-of-the-art forecasting systems, complete with common topics such as ML and deep learning (DL) as well as rarely touched-upon topics such as global forecasting models, cross-validation strategies, and forecast metrics. You’ll begin by exploring the basics of data handling, data visualization, and classical statistical methods before moving on to ML and DL models for time series forecasting. This book takes you on a hands-on journey in which you’ll develop state-of-the-art ML (linear regression to gradient-boosted trees) and DL (feed-forward neural networks, LSTMs, and transformers) models on a real-world dataset along with exploring practical topics such as interpretability. By the end of this book, you’ll be able to build world-class time series forecasting systems and tackle problems in the real world.
Table of Contents (26 chapters)
1
Part 1 – Getting Familiar with Time Series
6
Part 2 – Machine Learning for Time Series
13
Part 3 – Deep Learning for Time Series
20
Part 4 – Mechanics of Forecasting

Building Blocks of Deep Learning for Time Series

While we laid the foundations of deep learning in the previous chapter, it was very general. Deep learning is a vast field with applications in all possible domains, but the focus of this book is time series forecasting.

So, in this chapter, let’s strengthen the foundation by looking at a few building blocks of deep learning that are commonly used in time series forecasting. Even though the global machine learning models perform well in time series problems, some deep learning approaches have also shown good promise. They are a good addition to your toolset due to the flexibility they allow when modeling.

In this chapter, we will cover the following topics:

  • Understanding the encoder-decoder paradigm
  • Feed-forward networks
  • Recurrent neural networks
  • Long short-term memory (LSTM) networks
  • Gated recurrent unit (GRU)
  • Convolution networks