Book Image

Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python

By : Manu Joseph
5 (1)
Book Image

Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python

5 (1)
By: Manu Joseph

Overview of this book

We live in a serendipitous era where the explosion in the quantum of data collected and a renewed interest in data-driven techniques such as machine learning (ML), has changed the landscape of analytics, and with it, time series forecasting. This book, filled with industry-tested tips and tricks, takes you beyond commonly used classical statistical methods such as ARIMA and introduces to you the latest techniques from the world of ML. This is a comprehensive guide to analyzing, visualizing, and creating state-of-the-art forecasting systems, complete with common topics such as ML and deep learning (DL) as well as rarely touched-upon topics such as global forecasting models, cross-validation strategies, and forecast metrics. You’ll begin by exploring the basics of data handling, data visualization, and classical statistical methods before moving on to ML and DL models for time series forecasting. This book takes you on a hands-on journey in which you’ll develop state-of-the-art ML (linear regression to gradient-boosted trees) and DL (feed-forward neural networks, LSTMs, and transformers) models on a real-world dataset along with exploring practical topics such as interpretability. By the end of this book, you’ll be able to build world-class time series forecasting systems and tackle problems in the real world.
Table of Contents (26 chapters)
1
Part 1 – Getting Familiar with Time Series
6
Part 2 – Machine Learning for Time Series
13
Part 3 – Deep Learning for Time Series
20
Part 4 – Mechanics of Forecasting

Index

As this ebook edition doesn't have fixed pagination, the page numbers below are hyperlinked for reference only, based on the printed edition of this book.

Symbols

.dt accessor

using 25, 26

A

absolute error (AE) 471, 472

loss curves and complementary pairs for 478

Acorn classes 21

activation functions 273

Hyperbolic tangent (tanh) 275

sigmoid 274

Add and Norm block 438

additive attention 354, 355

Air Quality Monitoring Data

reference link 29

algorithmic partitioning 251-255

alignment function 350, 352, 425

additive/concat attention 354, 355

dot product 352

general attention 353, 354

scaled dot product attention 353

attention 348-350

forecasting with 356-360

attention distillation 427

Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test 143, 144

Auto ARIMA 88

autocorrelation 87

autocorrelation function (ACF) 152

auto-correlation mechanism, Autoformer model 433

period-based dependencies...